538 Presidential Election 2024 Forecast. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. It is current as of the map timestamp.

Both trump and harris have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win. An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.